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Fending Off the Crisis
Special> Fending Off the Crisis
UPDATED: October 10, 2008 NO. 42 OCT. 16, 2008
Fending off the Crisis
The U.S. financial crisis is having an adverse impact on China, but also offers some opportunities and lessons for the country
By LAN XINZHEN
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At present, most of China's venture capital and private equity firms are located in major cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, and in some second-tier cities such as Chongqing, Dalian and Tianjin. Chen noted there are many excellent companies in other cities that need, but cannot obtain investment, because venture capital firms are not familiar with the cities or that entrepreneurs do not know how to contact them.

"When people are familiar with this sector, I think there will be more companies of better quality that can get investment from venture capital firms, so I am not worried about the development of China's venture capital and private equity sectors," he said.

Going global

Skyworth Group Co. Ltd. is a Chinese electronics company in the process of going global. Zhang Xuebin, the company's board chairman and chief executive officer, said at the forum that he believes it is difficult for Chinese companies that want to do business internationally to make an assessment now about how the U.S. financial crisis will affect their prospects. But in general, the crisis would serve as a good opportunity for more Chinese enterprises to become international players.

Whenever an economic or financial crisis occurs, some companies collapse while others grow stronger, Zhang said. For example, South Korea's Samsung Group grew very rapidly after the Asian Financial Crisis a decade ago, he added.

"I think that the market will finally be concentrated around some strong companies," Zhang said. "As often happens, a crisis or difficult period is the best time for such concentration to be accomplished."

The current financial crisis would make it difficult for some small and medium-sized enterprises to survive or maintain their previous operating pace, thereby forfeiting many market resources, Zhang said. As for Skyworth, Zhang said he views the crisis as an opportunity and not a threat, because the company has been growing quickly and is at the forefront of China's color TV industry.

Because the financial crisis will have the greatest impact on companies in developed countries, Wang Jianzhou, Board Chairman and CEO of China Mobile Communications Corp., said at the forum on September 28 that his company's international strategy would mainly focus on prominent emerging markets, where companies from developed countries may not set up operations because they are mired in the current financial turmoil.

Real estate woes

Forum participants also discussed the fallout from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis on the real estate market as one of the root causes of the overall financial turmoil. They raised questions as to whether China's overheated real estate market would experience a similar situation.

Guo Shuqing, Board Chairman of China Construction Bank, believes such concerns are unnecessary.

"On China's housing loan market, there won't be a subprime mortgage crisis as in the United States," Guo said at the forum. He pointed out that China's home loans, which amount to 3 trillion yuan ($439 billion), account for only 13 percent of the country's GDP, much less than the 50 percent of GDP they account for in the United States.

Ronnie Chichung Chan, Board Chairman of the Hong Kong-based Hang Lung Properties Ltd., said on September 27 that China's real estate market would not suffer a collapse, because the government has been aware of the industry's overheated development and has adopted macroeconomic measures to cool down the market.

Although domestic property developers are not experiencing serious problems, it does not mean they have not or will not be affected by the financial crisis, Chan said. At present, most must deal with broken capital chains, a problem that the current financial crisis makes doubly difficult to solve.

"Some real estate companies will be inevitably knocked out," Chan said.

It will take time for the country's real estate industry to be further reorganized, but when it happens, the industry will emerge stronger and more orderly, he added.

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