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Business
Print Edition> Business
UPDATED: June 17, 2013 NO. 25 JUNE 20, 2013
Market Watch No. 25, 2013
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OPINION

EU's Punitive Duty on China: A Lose-Lose Game

On June 4, the European Commission announced its decision to introduce anti-dumping duty on solar panels imported from China. An interim punitive duty of 11.8 percent will apply to all Chinese solar panel imports starting from June 6, and the duty will be raised to an average of 47.6 percent two months later if the two sides fail to find a solution.

The EU's anti-dumping and countervailing investigation against China has become the largest trade dispute in the world. Solar products involved in the case account for 70 percent of China's photovoltaic output and 7 percent of trade volume between China and the EU, totaling more than $20 billion.

Worse still, thousands of Chinese solar manufacturers may be wiped out and more than 400,000 workers may lose their jobs.

On the other side, according to a survey by some European economic research institutes, the punitive duty on Chinese-made photovoltaic products would lead to declining demand in the EU and losses of 242,000 jobs and 27.2 billion euro ($35.3 billion) in additional value in three years.

Nonetheless, it is worth mentioning that the 11.8-percent tariff is much lower than originally expected, and China still can sit down with the European side for more discussions on solar panel prices within the next two months. To some extent, China's diplomatic efforts have worked. In addition, the EU is fragmented on the issue. Germany, the EU's largest economy, disagrees with levying punitive duty on Chinese solar panels.

Although the interim punitive duty is much lower than expected, the EU has nonetheless chosen to head down a path of protectionism despite China-EU trade amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The EU has decided to "protect" its local industries at the risk of starting a potential trade war.

Lose-lose results have already surfaced by the ongoing anti-dumping and countervailing duty imposed by the United States on Chinese solar products. In 2011, the United States imported 11 million solar cells from China each quarter, and when it came to 2013, the figure dropped to a mere 900,000. Its manufacturing industry and job market have not yet benefited much from the anti-dumping measures. Some analysts estimate that the U.S. production capacity for solar panels is currently 1,845 megawatts, lower that the 2,027 megawatts of the previous year. According to the Solar Electric Light Fund, American solar industry lost 8,200 jobs last year, or 22 percent of total employment in the field. Estimates are that only 2,600 jobs would be restored this year.

In response to the EU's assault, the Chinese Government has promised to take a tough stance. "If the EU insists on imposing duty orders on Chinese exports and severely hurting the interests of Chinese manufacturers, the Chinese Government will not stand by," said Chong Quan, deputy international trade representative with the Ministry of Commerce. "We have no choice but take any measure possible to protect the lawful rights of Chinese businesses."

In the face of unfair treatment by the EU, the Chinese Government has launched anti-dumping and countervailing investigations into grape wine from the EU as well as on polycrystalline silicon and automobiles. China may take more countermeasures on issues concerning investment and trade.

The EU should be aware that escalating the threat of a trade war is damaging to both sides.

This is an edited excerpt of an article by Zhou Zixun, an economic commentator, published in Securities Times

THE MARKETS

Land Purchase

China Vanke Co. Ltd., the nation's largest real estate developer by sales, secured 38 plots of land valued at 25 billion yuan ($4 billion) within five months.

Vanke bought eight land plots worth 3.6 billion yuan ($571 million) in May in eight cities, including Beijing, Dalian of Liaoning Province, Wuhan of Hubei Province, Changsha of Hunan Province, and Nanchang of Jiangxi Province, the Shenzhen-listed company said in a file sent to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on June 3.

Vanke's spending on land purchases from January to May accounted for 35.6 percent of its total sales revenue, which was 70.18 billion yuan ($11.45 billion).

New Global Base

PC giant Dell launched its new global operations site in Chengdu, capital of southwest China's Sichuan Province, on June 6.

"Our commitment to China has never been stronger, and this ongoing investment further demonstrates the importance of China to Dell's strategy and future," said Michael Dell, its chairman and CEO at the opening of the Chengdu Dell Operations Site, which boasts a desktop production capacity of 7 million units a year.

It is Dell's first such site to fully deploy the company's new IT solutions within the factory, demonstrating the capability of its end-to-end services, according to Amit Midha, President of Dell Asia Pacific and Japan Region.

The operations site is expected to spark an influx of additional manufacturing industries to Chengdu, helping to create a more efficient PC supply chain and distribution system in China's western region.

According to figures from the Chengdu Municipal Government, the city saw output in the manufacturing of laptops, tablet PCs and desktops exceeding 100 billion yuan ($16 billion) in value last year.

NUMBERS

$38.34 bln

Paid-in foreign direct investment (FDI) from January to April, a 1.21-percent year-on-year increase

$2.47 bln

Paid-in FDI from the EU between January to April, a 29.68-percent year-on-year increase

$1.4 bln

Paid-in FDI from the United Statesm from January to April, a 33.2-percent year-on-year increase

Email us at: yushujun@bjreview.com



 
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